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 Is a USA Economic Collapse Due in 2005? (ZT) |
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我同意你的看法。对该文中某些观点我也不同意。比如对格林斯潘的评论。不过， -- Jaren - (251 Byte) 2004-8-06 周五, 21:52 (943 reads) |
johndoe
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作者：游客 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
first of all, Fed's mandate is grow economy and controll inflation. Fed under Greenspan is putting more emphasis on growth while ECB is more inflation targetting. By low overnight rate,Fed is pumping money into system to stimulate
economy, it make 2001-2003 recession the mildest in history. Also inflation is very mild,helped by cheap china import and perhaps outsourcing. That's why Fed can afford a minus real rate. Fed now is moving towards a neutral rate next year. But the past two months eco number has not been good,especially non-farm payroll, so Fed has reason to go slow in raising rate.
Bush government can not pump money into financial system, that's the job of central bank-Fed Reserve. By reducing tax and increasing deficit, it might push up the long term interest rate, but not have a big effect in inflation.
Also Fed is not involved in fiscal policy, Greenspan can offer his opinion, but it's administration's domain, so the argument that if Greenspan is pro-middle class or pro-rich is stupid.
作者：游客 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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