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 ZT：印度金融危机即将到来？ |
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ZT：印度金融危机即将到来？ -- wimax - (3682 Byte) 2006-6-03 周六, 13:57 (1983 reads) |
parisparis
头衔: 海归少将
声望: 讲师
加入时间: 2004/09/04
文章: 1996
海归分: 276207
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作者：parisparis 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
current account deficit for India:
1. 2003/2004---USD 14.3 billion.
2. 2004/2005-- USD 28.6 biillion.
3. 2005--first 9 months 29.8 billion.
fiscal year starts from April in India.
Stock market index: around May 10, 2004, it is still around 4,500. Starting from that time point, the crazy run-up starts.
look like the Nasdaq 2000.
Its current account deficit will be there for some time. Domestic consumption is robust, which means imports are not going to go down or slow in growth. Indian currency gains value against dollar.
All signs of Asia 97 bubble.
But India's trouble does not necessarily translate into a recession in non-monetary sector. Reasons:
1. Most banks seem private or privatized. So the banking sector seems to be immune ( no enough info on that yet).
2. Stock market is still small and its impact on average people's consumption behavior is still limited.
作者：parisparis 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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 ZT：印度金融危机即将到来？ -- wimax - (3682 Byte) 2006-6-03 周六, 13:57 (1983 reads) - some info provided to support you -- parisparis - (913 Byte) 2006-6-04 周日, 05:36 (423 reads)
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